Mathematics 9709/63 — May/June 2024
Cambridge A-Level · Probability & Statistics 2 · worked solutions for every part, with the mark scheme
Topics Sampling and Estimation · The Poisson Distribution · Linear Combinations of Random Variables · Hypothesis Tests · Continuous Random Variables
The random variable has the distribution .
Approach
Since has large and small , approximate it by a Poisson distribution with . Then compute by summing the Poisson probabilities for .
Working
Let with . Then
The required probability is
Using :
Evaluate the terms:
So
Answer
0.537
Walkthrough
We are told that has a binomial distribution with and . Because is very large and is very small, it is sensible to approximate the binomial distribution by a Poisson distribution. The mean of the Poisson distribution is . This is why we use .
We need . Since is a discrete random variable, the condition means , or . We therefore add these three Poisson probabilities. Using gives the expression in the solution. Evaluating the factorial terms and summing gives .
Key Takeaways
- A binomial distribution can be approximated by a Poisson distribution when is large and is small.
- The Poisson parameter is .
- A compound inequality such as must be translated into the exact discrete integer values it includes.
Common Mistakes
- Including in . The inequality is strict at 5, so is excluded.
- Calculating only one of the three probabilities instead of summing them all.
- Using the binomial distribution directly, which is not the intended approach and is much more laborious.
- Giving the answer without showing the Poisson expression; the mark scheme awards only partial credit for an unsupported correct answer.
Things to Be Careful About
- Use the Poisson formula correctly: .
- Compute the factorial terms carefully: and .
- Give the final answer to three significant figures.
- In part (b), remember to justify the approximation with explicit values.
Approach
State the conditions that allow a binomial distribution to be approximated by a Poisson distribution: large and small .
Working
Here and , so:
- (equivalently )
Both conditions are satisfied, so the Poisson approximation with is justified.
Answer
and (or ).
n = 4000 > 50 and np = 4 < 5 (or p = 0.001 < 0.1)
Walkthrough
The question asks us to justify the approximating distribution chosen in part (a). A Poisson approximation to a binomial distribution is valid when the number of trials is large and the probability of success is small. Here , which is much larger than 50, and , which is small. The mark scheme also accepts the equivalent check . We state these values explicitly to earn the mark.
Key Takeaways
The standard conditions for using the Poisson approximation to the binomial are: is large (often ) and is small (often or ). The parameter of the approximating Poisson distribution is .
Common Mistakes
- Stating only the general conditions without showing the actual values and or .
- Confusing the Poisson approximation conditions with those for a normal approximation. Here , so a normal approximation would not be appropriate.
Things to Be Careful About
- The mark scheme requires explicit values, so write and (or ).
- Do not write only " is large and is small" without showing the numbers.
The widths, , of a random sample of 150 leaves of a certain kind were measured. The sample mean of was found to be .
Using this sample, an approximate 95% confidence interval for the population mean of the widths in centimetres was found to be .
Approach
Use the confidence interval formula
The interval is symmetric, so the half-width is the difference between the sample mean and either endpoint. Set this half-width equal to the margin of error and solve for .
Working
For a 95% confidence interval, . The sample mean is and the upper endpoint is 3.23, so the half-width is
Therefore
Solving for :
Since ,
Answer
The estimate of the population standard deviation is
0.687 cm
Walkthrough
The confidence interval is built from the formula
where and for 95% confidence. The upper endpoint is , so the half-width is . Equating this to gives a linear equation for . Solving for means multiplying by and dividing by , giving cm to 3 significant figures.
Key Takeaways
The confidence interval formula connects the sample mean, the standard deviation, and the z-score. Given any three of these pieces, the fourth can be found. The width of a confidence interval is twice the margin of error, so the half-width is the margin of error.
Common Mistakes
- Using the full width instead of the half-width .
- Forgetting to divide by or misplacing .
- Using an incorrect -value, such as 1.645 or 2.576, instead of 1.96 for 95%.
- Giving the standard error instead of the population standard deviation .
Things to Be Careful About
The interval gives the standard error indirectly. Remember that the standard error is , so the population standard deviation is larger than the margin of error. Always include units (cm) and give the final answer to 3 significant figures as appropriate.
Explain whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit theorem in your answer to part (a).
Approach
The confidence interval formula in part (a) assumes that the sample mean is approximately normally distributed. Since the population distribution of leaf widths is not given to be normal, the Central Limit Theorem is needed to justify this normality for a large sample.
Working
The population of widths is not stated as normal. For a sample of size , the Central Limit Theorem states that the sample mean is approximately normally distributed, whatever the population distribution. This justifies using the normal confidence interval formula in part (a).
Answer
Yes, it was necessary to use the Central Limit Theorem, because the population distribution is not given to be normal.
Yes, because the population is not given to be normal.
Walkthrough
The interval in part (a) used the formula , which relies on the sample mean being approximately normal. The question does not state that the widths of leaves follow a normal distribution. The Central Limit Theorem says that for a sufficiently large sample, the sample mean is approximately normal regardless of the population distribution. Since is large, the CLT justifies the use of the normal confidence interval formula.
Key Takeaways
The Central Limit Theorem is essential for using normal-based confidence intervals when the population distribution is unknown or not normal. It allows us to treat the sample mean as approximately normal for large samples.
Common Mistakes
- Saying "yes, because is large" without mentioning that the population is not given to be normal.
- Saying "no" because the sample is large; the CLT is still necessary to justify normality.
- Confusing the CLT with an assumption that the original population is normal.
Things to Be Careful About
The mark scheme requires both parts: yes, and the reason that the population distribution is not known to be normal. A statement such as "yes, because is large" is not enough on its own.
The masses in kilograms of large and small bags of cement have the independent distributions and respectively.
Find the probability that the total mass of 5 randomly chosen large bags of cement is greater than the total mass of 10 randomly chosen small bags of cement.
Approach
Let be the mass of a randomly chosen large bag and the mass of a randomly chosen small bag. The total mass of 5 large bags is , and the total mass of 10 small bags is . We need , so define the difference and find . Since and are independent normal variables, is also normal; we compute its mean and variance, then standardise.
Working
Let be the difference between the total mass of 5 large bags and the total mass of 10 small bags.
Mean of :
Variance of (the variances of the two independent totals add):
So:
We require . Standardising:
Therefore:
From the standard normal table, . Therefore:
Answer
The probability that the total mass of 5 large bags exceeds the total mass of 10 small bags is:
0.0339
Walkthrough
We are given that a large bag has mass and a small bag has mass . We want the probability that 5 large bags weigh more than 10 small bags.
The total mass of 5 large bags is the sum of 5 independent variables, each with distribution . The mean of this total is . Because the bags are independent, the variance of the total is — the variances add, not the standard deviations.
Similarly, the total mass of 10 small bags has mean and variance .
We want , which is . Define . Since and are independent normal variables, is also normal. Its mean is:
Its variance is:
So .
Now standardise: is equivalent to:
Using the standard normal table, , so:
The key insight is that the variance of a sum of independent variables adds, and that a linear combination of independent normal variables is normal.
Key Takeaways
- The mean of a linear combination of independent variables is the same linear combination of their means.
- The variance of a sum of independent variables is the sum of their variances.
- A linear combination of independent normal random variables is normal.
- To find a probability like , standardise using and then use the standard normal table.
Common Mistakes
- Using the variance of the total as instead of . The total of 5 independent bags has variance , not , because the coefficient of each bag in the sum is 1, not 5.
- Subtracting the variances instead of adding them. Since the variables are independent, variances always add, even when one total is subtracted from another.
- Getting the sign of the mean wrong: has mean , not .
- Forgetting to use when the required probability is the upper tail.
Things to Be Careful About
- Use the standard deviation when standardising, not the variance 30.
- The question gives variances (2.4 and 1.8), not standard deviations. The variance of the total is the sum of the variances.
- No continuity correction is needed here because the normal distribution is used directly, not as an approximation to a discrete distribution.
- Give the final answer to 3 significant figures: 0.0339 or 0.034.
In this question you should not use an approximating distribution.
At an election in Menham last year, 24% of voters supported the Today Party. A student wishes to test whether support for the Today Party has decreased since last year. He chooses a random sample of 25 voters in Menham and finds that exactly 2 of them say that they support the Today Party.
Test at the 5% significance level whether support for the Today Party has decreased.
Approach
Let be the number of voters in the sample of 25 who support the Today Party. Under the null hypothesis, . We set up the hypotheses, compute the probability of observing 2 or fewer supporters, compare it with the 5% significance level, and draw a conclusion in context. Since the question says not to use an approximating distribution, we compute the exact binomial probability.
Working
State the hypotheses. Since the student wishes to test whether support has decreased, we use a one-tailed (lower-tail) test:
The -value is the probability of observing 2 or fewer supporters under :
Evaluating each term:
Summing:
Compare with the significance level:
Since the -value is less than the significance level, we reject .
Answer
There is sufficient evidence to suggest that support for the Today Party has decreased.
There is sufficient evidence to suggest that support for the Today Party has decreased.
Walkthrough
This is a hypothesis test for a population proportion using the binomial distribution. The question explicitly says not to use an approximating distribution, so we must compute the exact binomial probability.
Step 1: Set up the hypotheses. The null hypothesis is that the proportion of voters supporting the Today Party is still 24%, i.e. . The alternative hypothesis reflects what the student wants to test — that support has decreased, i.e. . Because the alternative is "less than", this is a one-tailed (lower-tail) test.
Step 2: Identify the test statistic. Let be the number of voters in the sample supporting the Today Party. Under , .
Step 3: Compute the p-value. The p-value is the probability of getting a result as extreme as, or more extreme than, the observed result, assuming is true. Since we observed 2 supporters and the alternative is , the p-value is . We compute this as the sum of three binomial probabilities: , , and . Each term uses the binomial formula with , , and .
Step 4: Compare with the significance level. The significance level is 5%, i.e. 0.05. Since , the result is significant — the observed data is unlikely under the null hypothesis.
Step 5: Draw a conclusion. Because the p-value is less than the significance level, we reject and conclude that there is sufficient evidence to suggest support for the Today Party has decreased.
Key Takeaways
- A hypothesis test for a proportion uses the binomial distribution when the sample is small and the question requires exact computation.
- The alternative hypothesis determines the direction of the test: gives a one-tailed lower-tail test.
- The p-value is the probability of observing a result as extreme as, or more extreme than, the one observed, under the null hypothesis.
- We reject when the p-value is less than the significance level.
- The conclusion must be stated in context and should not be over-certain ("there is evidence to suggest" rather than "it is certain").
Common Mistakes
- Not showing the probability expression. The mark scheme awards M1 only if the expression for is seen. An unsupported answer of 0.0407 earns only SC B1.
- Using a two-tailed test. If the student sets and compares with 0.025, the mark scheme caps the marks at B0 M1 A1 M1 A0.
- Using an approximating distribution. The question explicitly says not to use an approximating distribution, so a normal approximation would not be appropriate.
- Not stating the conclusion in context. The final conclusion must mention the Today Party and the decrease in support.
Things to Be Careful About
- The hypotheses must be exactly and .
- The probability must be computed exactly using the binomial formula, not approximated.
- The comparison must be with 0.05, the significance level, not with 0.025 (which would be for a two-tailed test).
- The conclusion should be phrased as "sufficient evidence to suggest that support has decreased" — not as a definite statement, and without contradictions.
A random variable has probability density function given by
where is a constant.
Approach
For a probability density function, the total area under the curve over its support must equal . Integrate from to , set the result equal to , and solve for .
Working
Integrating:
Substituting the limits:
Answer
a = 2
Walkthrough
The defining property of a probability density function is that the total area under the curve over its entire support equals . Since outside the interval , the total probability is just the integral from to of . We therefore set
We integrate term by term: the antiderivative of is and the antiderivative of is . Substituting the upper limit :
The lower limit contributes to both terms. So the integral evaluates to . Setting this equal to gives , hence . This confirms the given value.
Key Takeaways
This question tests the fundamental property of a probability density function: the total area under the curve must equal 1. It also tests the ability to integrate a polynomial and evaluate it at the limits of integration. The key skill is translating the PDF property into a definite integral equation.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting to set the integral equal to 1 — the total probability must be 1.
- Arithmetic errors with surds: and .
- Forgetting to state that the lower limit contributes 0 (though here it does, it should still be acknowledged).
- Incorrectly integrating (e.g. dividing by the wrong power).
Things to Be Careful About
The support of the PDF is , so the integral must be taken over exactly this interval. Since elsewhere, no other intervals contribute. Also note that the question says "Show that " — the mark scheme requires the result to be convincingly obtained with no errors, so every step of the integration and substitution must be shown.
Approach
The median satisfies . With , integrate from to , set the result equal to , and solve the resulting quartic by substituting .
Working
The median satisfies:
Integrating:
Multiplying by 4:
Let . Then:
Since , we need . The value is invalid, so:
Answer
m = sqrt(2 - sqrt(2)) ≈ 0.765
Walkthrough
The median of a continuous random variable is the value such that . Since the support of starts at , this means
With from part (a), the PDF is . Integrating from to :
Setting this equal to and multiplying through by 4 gives the quartic . This is a quartic that is quadratic in , so we substitute to obtain . The quadratic formula gives
Now we must select the valid root. Since lies in the support , we need . The value exceeds 2 and is therefore invalid. Hence and .
Key Takeaways
This question combines the definition of the median of a continuous distribution with solving a quartic equation by substitution. The key steps are: recognising that the median satisfies an integral equation, integrating correctly, reducing the quartic to a quadratic via , and rejecting the root that lies outside the support.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting the on the right-hand side of the median equation.
- Not rejecting the root , which gives , outside the support .
- Errors in the quadratic formula, especially with .
- Taking the negative square root of — the median must be positive since the support is .
Things to Be Careful About
Always check that the median lies within the support of the distribution. Here the support is , and is comfortably inside. The quartic has four possible roots for (two for , each with ), but only the positive root of is valid.
Approach
Use the definition over the support of . With , this becomes .
Working
Since and :
Answer
E(X) = 8√2/15
Walkthrough
The expected value of a continuous random variable is defined as
Since outside , the integral reduces to . With , we multiply by to obtain . Integrating:
At the upper limit :
The lower limit contributes . So
Key Takeaways
This question tests the definition of the expected value of a continuous random variable: . The key skills are multiplying the PDF by before integrating, integrating the resulting polynomial, and simplifying surds such as and .
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting to multiply by before integrating — a very common error.
- Arithmetic errors with surd powers: , .
- Incorrectly combining the fractions and .
- Using the wrong limits (e.g. integrating from to rather than to ).
Things to Be Careful About
The integral for must use , not alone. Also, the limits are the full support , not the median from part (b). Finally, the answer must be given as a single exact term, , as required by the mark scheme.
The numbers of green sweets in 200 randomly chosen packets of Frutos are summarised in the table.
| Number of green sweets | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of packets | 32 | 50 | 97 | 21 | 0 |
Calculate an unbiased estimate for the population mean of the number of green sweets in a packet of Frutos, and show that an unbiased estimate of the population variance is 0.783 correct to 3 significant figures.
Approach
Estimate the population mean by the sample mean and estimate the population variance using the unbiased formula with in the divisor. Since the data are grouped, use the sums and .
Working
The total number of packets is
The sum of the observed values is
Therefore the unbiased estimate of the population mean is
The sum of squares is
The unbiased estimate of the population variance is
Answer
, and the unbiased estimate of the population variance is to 3 significant figures.
mean estimate = 1.535, unbiased variance estimate = 0.783 (3 s.f.)
Walkthrough
The table gives the frequencies of packets containing 0, 1, 2 or 3 green sweets. The category has frequency 0, so it contributes nothing. First find the total number of packets, . Then compute the weighted sum , where each number of sweets is multiplied by its frequency. Dividing by gives the sample mean, which is an unbiased estimator of the population mean.
For the variance, use the grouped-data unbiased variance formula. This uses and subtracts , or equivalently , then divides by instead of . The divisor is what makes the estimate unbiased for the population variance.
Key Takeaways
The sample mean is an unbiased estimate of the population mean . The unbiased variance estimate is
Grouped frequency tables require weighted sums using the frequencies.
Common Mistakes
Using instead of in the variance denominator. Forgetting that the category contributes nothing to and . Rounding the mean to 1.54 or 1.53 before calculating the variance, which loses accuracy.
Things to Be Careful About
The category has frequency 0, so it is ignored. Use the exact mean in the variance calculation. The final variance must be shown as to 3 significant figures, with the working clearly leading to that value.
The manufacturers of Frutos claim that the mean number of green sweets in a packet is 1.65.
Anji believes that the true value of the mean, , is less than 1.65. She uses the results from the 200 randomly chosen packets to test the manufacturers' claim.
State suitable null and alternative hypotheses for the test.
Approach
Anji believes the mean is less than 1.65, so this is a one-tailed test. The null hypothesis is the manufacturers' claim, and the alternative hypothesis reflects Anji's belief.
Working
Let be the true population mean number of green sweets in a packet.
This is a one-tailed test.
Answer
, .
H0: μ = 1.65, H1: μ < 1.65
Walkthrough
The null hypothesis always states the claim being tested, here that the population mean is 1.65. The alternative hypothesis is the statement Anji wants to support: the mean is less than 1.65. Because she believes the mean is smaller, the test is one-tailed.
Key Takeaways
Hypotheses are statements about the population parameter, not about the sample mean. A one-tailed test uses a one-sided inequality in the alternative hypothesis.
Common Mistakes
Writing instead of . Writing a two-tailed alternative when the question clearly says Anji believes the mean is less.
Things to Be Careful About
The hypotheses must refer to the population mean , not just "the mean". The alternative sign must match Anji's belief, namely .
Show that the result of Anji's test is significant at the 5% level but not at the 1% level.
Approach
Since the sample size is large, the sample mean is approximately normal. Use the sample mean and the unbiased variance estimate from part (a), standardise to find the test statistic, and compare it with the lower-tail critical values for the 5% and 1% levels.
Working
From part (a), the sample mean and variance estimate are
The test statistic is
Now
so
The lower-tail critical values are
Comparing:
Since , is rejected at the 5% level. Since , is not rejected at the 1% level.
Equivalently, the p-value is
and
Answer
The result is significant at the 5% level but not at the 1% level.
Significant at 5% but not at 1%
Walkthrough
The sample size is 200, so the Central Limit Theorem tells us the sample mean is approximately normal. We estimate the population variance by from part (a). The test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean is below the claimed mean 1.65.
The denominator is the standard error of the sample mean, , not just . After standardising, we get .
For a one-tailed test at the 5% level, the critical value is . Because is less than , the result lies in the 5% rejection region. At the 1% level, the critical value is . Because is greater than , it is not in the 1% rejection region.
The same conclusion comes from the p-value: is less than but greater than .
Key Takeaways
In a hypothesis test for a population mean with a large sample, use . Compare the test statistic with the appropriate one-tailed critical values, or compare the p-value with the significance level.
Common Mistakes
Using two-tailed critical values and instead of one-tailed values and . Forgetting to divide by in the denominator. Using 1.54 or 1.53 instead of 1.535, which can change the exact value of the test statistic.
Things to Be Careful About
The signs matter: the test statistic is negative, and the critical values are negative. is less than but greater than . The p-value must be between 0.01 and 0.05 for the required conclusion.
It is given that Anji made a Type I error.
Explain how this shows that the significance level that Anji used in her test was not 1%.
Approach
A Type I error occurs when is rejected when it is true. From part (c), at the 1% level is not rejected. Therefore no Type I error can occur at the 1% level.
Working
At the 1% level, the critical value is . The test statistic is , which is greater than , so is not rejected at the 1% level.
A Type I error requires rejecting . Since is not rejected at the 1% level, a Type I error cannot have occurred if the level had been 1%.
Since Anji made a Type I error, the significance level she used was not 1%.
Answer
At the 1% level is not rejected, so a Type I error could not have occurred; hence the significance level was not 1%.
At the 1% level H0 is not rejected, so a Type I error could not occur; hence the significance level was not 1%.
Walkthrough
A Type I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. In part (c), the test statistic at the 1% level is not in the rejection region, so is not rejected. If Anji had used the 1% level, she would not have rejected , and therefore could not have made a Type I error. Since the question tells us she did make a Type I error, the level she used cannot have been 1%.
Key Takeaways
A Type I error can only happen when is rejected. If a test does not reject , no Type I error is possible.
Common Mistakes
Confusing Type I and Type II errors. Saying that a Type I error can occur when is not rejected. Forgetting that the 1% level gave non-rejection in part (c).
Things to Be Careful About
At the 1% level, is not rejected, so a Type I error is impossible. The conclusion is that Anji's significance level was not 1%.
The independent random variables and have the distributions and respectively.
Approach
Since and are independent Poisson random variables, their sum is also Poisson with parameter . We calculate by summing the Poisson probabilities for .
Working
Since and are independent:
We need:
Using with :
Summing the four probabilities:
Answer
0.414
Walkthrough
The key insight is that when two independent Poisson variables are added, the result is also Poisson with a parameter equal to the sum of the parameters. Here, and are independent, so .
The event means takes values or . Since these are mutually exclusive events, we add their individual probabilities. Each probability comes from the Poisson formula with .
We compute each term: for , for , for , and for . Summing these four terms gives approximately 0.414.
Key Takeaways
- The sum of independent Poisson random variables is Poisson with parameter equal to the sum of the parameters.
- To find for a Poisson variable, sum the individual probabilities .
- The Poisson probability formula is the fundamental tool.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting that is Poisson — trying to compute the probability directly from and separately.
- Using the wrong parameter (e.g., using 1.9 or 2.2 instead of 4.1).
- Including in the sum — the inequality is strict (), so we stop at .
- Arithmetic errors in computing powers and factorials.
Things to Be Careful About
- The strict inequality means we include but NOT .
- Keep sufficient precision in intermediate steps; the final answer should be given to 3 significant figures.
- The mark scheme allows "one end error" — but you should aim for the correct range.
Approach
Use the conditional probability formula:
The denominator is the result from part (a), . For the numerator, when and , we need or .
Working
The joint event and occurs when and or :
Since and are independent:
Therefore:
Now apply the conditional probability formula:
Answer
0.231
Walkthrough
This part uses the conditional probability formula . Here is the event and is the event .
The denominator was found in part (a).
For the numerator, we need the joint event AND . When , the condition means , so or . Since and are independent, we can multiply their individual Poisson probabilities.
, , and .
We compute , then divide by 0.414 to get the conditional probability 0.231.
Key Takeaways
- Conditional probability: .
- For independent variables, joint probabilities factor into products of marginal probabilities.
- The condition "given " restricts the possible values of once is fixed.
Common Mistakes
- Forgetting to multiply by or — the joint probability is a product, not just .
- Using the wrong range for (e.g., including ).
- Forgetting to divide by — giving the joint probability instead of the conditional probability.
- Using the wrong value for from part (a).
Things to Be Careful About
- The numerator is the JOINT probability , not .
- Make sure both and cases are included.
- The mark scheme requires the division step to be shown explicitly.
A sample of 60 randomly chosen pairs of values of and is taken, and the value of is calculated for each pair. The sample mean of these 60 values is found.
Find the probability that the sample mean of is less than 4.0.
Approach
From the Poisson sum property, , so and . For a sample of 60 values, the sample mean is approximately normally distributed by the Central Limit Theorem with mean and variance . Standardise and find the required probability.
Working
For :
For a sample of values, the sample mean is approximately normal:
Standardise:
Using the symmetry of the standard normal distribution:
From standard normal tables, :
Answer
Note: An alternative totals method uses the sum of the 60 values, approximately, giving . A continuity correction would adjust this to approximately 0.340.
0.351
Walkthrough
This part applies the Central Limit Theorem. We know , so and (for a Poisson distribution, mean = variance = ).
We take a sample of 60 values of . The sample mean has mean and variance . By the Central Limit Theorem, for a large sample (), is approximately normally distributed.
We standardise: . Then .
Computing: , so .
Since the standard normal distribution is symmetric, . From tables, , so the probability is .
Key Takeaways
- The Central Limit Theorem: for large samples, the sample mean is approximately normal regardless of the population distribution.
- For a sample mean: and .
- For a Poisson distribution, the mean and variance are both equal to .
- Standardising: .
Common Mistakes
- Using the variance of directly instead of dividing by — the sample mean has variance , not .
- Forgetting to take the square root of the variance when standardising.
- Using instead of — check the direction of the inequality.
- Mixing up the totals method and the sample mean method.
Things to Be Careful About
- The CLT applies because is a large sample.
- The mean and variance of must come from the Poisson sum property.
- If using the totals method, the sum of 60 values has mean and variance .
- A continuity correction is sometimes applied (giving approximately 0.340), but the standard answer without it is 0.351. The mark scheme accepts both.