9709/63

Mathematics 9709/63May/June 2024

Cambridge A-Level · Probability & Statistics 2 · worked solutions for every part, with the mark scheme

7
questions
50
marks
75
minutes

Topics Sampling and Estimation · The Poisson Distribution · Linear Combinations of Random Variables · Hypothesis Tests · Continuous Random Variables

Q1Medium-EasyThe Poisson Distribution

The random variable XX has the distribution B(4000,0.001)\text{B}(4000, 0.001).

(a)

Use a suitable approximating distribution to find P(2X<5)\text{P}(2 \le X < 5).

3M
(b)

Justify your approximating distribution in this case.

1M
Q2Medium-EasySampling and Estimation

The widths, w cmw\text{ cm}, of a random sample of 150 leaves of a certain kind were measured. The sample mean of ww was found to be 3.12 cm3.12\text{ cm}.

Using this sample, an approximate 95% confidence interval for the population mean of the widths in centimetres was found to be [3.01,3.23][3.01, 3.23].

(a)

Calculate an estimate of the population standard deviation.

3M
(b)

Explain whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit theorem in your answer to part (a).

1M
Q35MMediumLinear Combinations of Random Variables

The masses in kilograms of large and small bags of cement have the independent distributions N(50,2.4)\text{N}(50, 2.4) and N(26,1.8)\text{N}(26, 1.8) respectively.

Find the probability that the total mass of 5 randomly chosen large bags of cement is greater than the total mass of 10 randomly chosen small bags of cement.

Similar questions
Q45MMedium-EasyHypothesis Tests

In this question you should not use an approximating distribution.

At an election in Menham last year, 24% of voters supported the Today Party. A student wishes to test whether support for the Today Party has decreased since last year. He chooses a random sample of 25 voters in Menham and finds that exactly 2 of them say that they support the Today Party.

Test at the 5% significance level whether support for the Today Party has decreased.

Similar questions
Q5MediumContinuous Random Variables

A random variable XX has probability density function ff given by

f(x)={axx30x2,0otherwise,f(x) = \begin{cases} ax - x^3 & 0 \le x \le \sqrt{2}, \\ 0 & \text{otherwise}, \end{cases}

where aa is a constant.

(a)

Show that a=2a = 2.

3M
(b)

Find the median of XX.

4M
(c)

Find the exact value of E(X)\text{E}(X).

3M
Q6MediumSampling and EstimationHypothesis Tests

The numbers of green sweets in 200 randomly chosen packets of Frutos are summarised in the table.

Number of green sweets0123>3> 3
Number of packets325097210
(a)

Calculate an unbiased estimate for the population mean of the number of green sweets in a packet of Frutos, and show that an unbiased estimate of the population variance is 0.783 correct to 3 significant figures.

3M
(b)

The manufacturers of Frutos claim that the mean number of green sweets in a packet is 1.65.

Anji believes that the true value of the mean, μ\mu, is less than 1.65. She uses the results from the 200 randomly chosen packets to test the manufacturers' claim.

State suitable null and alternative hypotheses for the test.

1M
(c)

Show that the result of Anji's test is significant at the 5% level but not at the 1% level.

4M
(d)

It is given that Anji made a Type I error.

Explain how this shows that the significance level that Anji used in her test was not 1%.

1M
Q7MediumLinear Combinations of Random VariablesThe Poisson DistributionSampling and Estimation

The independent random variables XX and YY have the distributions Po(1.9)\text{Po}(1.9) and Po(2.2)\text{Po}(2.2) respectively.

(a)

Find P(X+Y<4)\text{P}(X + Y < 4).

3M
(b)

Find the probability that X=2X = 2 given that X+Y<4X + Y < 4.

4M
(c)

A sample of 60 randomly chosen pairs of values of XX and YY is taken, and the value of X+YX + Y is calculated for each pair. The sample mean of these 60 values is found.

Find the probability that the sample mean of X+YX + Y is less than 4.0.

6M