9709/51

Mathematics 9709/51May/June 2023

Cambridge A-Level · Probability & Statistics 1 · worked solutions for every part, with the mark scheme

7
questions
50
marks
75
minutes

Topics Representation of Data · Permutations and Combinations · Probability · The Normal Distribution · Discrete Random Variables

Q1Representation of DataFree sample

A summary of 50 values of xx gives

(xq)=700,(xq)2=14235,\sum(x - q) = 700, \quad \sum(x - q)^2 = 14\,235,

where qq is a constant.

(a)

Find the standard deviation of these values of xx.

2M
DifficultyMedium-Easy
Worked solution

Approach

Since adding a constant to every value does not change the spread, the coded values (xq)(x-q) have the same standard deviation as xx. Work with the variance formula for coded data:

Var=(xq)2n((xq)n)2\text{Var} = \frac{\sum(x-q)^2}{n} - \left(\frac{\sum(x-q)}{n}\right)^2

Then take the square root to obtain the standard deviation.

Working

Given n=50n = 50:

Var=1423550(70050)2\text{Var} = \frac{14235}{50} - \left(\frac{700}{50}\right)^2 =284.7196= 284.7 - 196 =88.7= 88.7

So

sd=88.7=9.42(3 s.f.)\text{sd} = \sqrt{88.7} = 9.42 \quad (3\text{ s.f.})

Answer

9.429.42
Final answer

9.42

Detailed explanation

Walkthrough

The question gives a coded summary of 50 values: (xq)=700\sum(x-q)=700 and (xq)2=14235\sum(x-q)^2=14\,235. Because subtracting qq from every value only shifts the data by a constant, it does not affect the standard deviation. Therefore the standard deviation of xx is the same as the standard deviation of xqx-q.

Use the variance formula for a set of values y=xqy=x-q:

Var(y)=y2n(yn)2\text{Var}(y) = \frac{\sum y^2}{n} - \left(\frac{\sum y}{n}\right)^2

Here y2=14235\sum y^2 = 14235 and y=700\sum y = 700, with n=50n=50. Substituting gives

Var=1423550(70050)2=284.7196=88.7\text{Var} = \frac{14235}{50} - \left(\frac{700}{50}\right)^2 = 284.7 - 196 = 88.7

So the standard deviation is

88.7=9.42(3 s.f.)\sqrt{88.7} = 9.42 \quad (3\text{ s.f.})

Key Takeaways

  • The variance and standard deviation are unchanged when a constant is added to every data value.
  • For coded data, use the formula Var=y2n(yn)2\text{Var} = \frac{\sum y^2}{n} - \left(\frac{\sum y}{n}\right)^2.
  • The final answer is a measure of spread, not the mean, so square roots must be taken carefully.

Common Mistakes

  • Forgetting to subtract the square of the mean of the coded values.
  • Giving the variance 88.788.7 as the standard deviation instead of taking the square root.
  • Using the raw sum x\sum x rather than the coded sums (xq)\sum(x-q) and (xq)2\sum(x-q)^2.

Things to Be Careful About

  • Use the correct denominator n=50n=50; the mark scheme also accepts a denominator of 4949 or 5151 in this context.
  • The final standard deviation should be rounded to at least 3 significant figures; 9.429.42 is acceptable.
  • Keep the units and signs consistent throughout the substitution.
Techniques used
apply variance formula for coded datasubstitute the given coded sumstake the square root to find standard deviation
(b)

Given that x=2865\sum x = 2865, find the value of qq.

2M
DifficultyMedium-Easy
Worked solution

Approach

Expand the coded sum (xq)\sum(x-q) using the fact that summing over 50 terms gives x50q\sum x - 50q. Substitute the known value of x\sum x and solve the resulting linear equation for qq.

Working

(xq)=x50q=700\sum(x-q) = \sum x - 50q = 700

Given x=2865\sum x = 2865:

286550q=7002865 - 50q = 700 50q=216550q = 2165 q=216550=43.3q = \frac{2165}{50} = 43.3

Answer

q=43.3q = 43.3
Final answer

q = 43.3

Detailed explanation

Walkthrough

This part gives the raw total x=2865\sum x = 2865 and asks for the coding constant qq. The coded sum is made term by term:

(xq)=(x1q)+(x2q)++(x50q)\sum(x-q) = (x_1-q)+(x_2-q)+\cdots+(x_{50}-q)

Since there are 50 terms, this equals x50q\sum x - 50q. Setting this equal to 700 gives the equation

x50q=700\sum x - 50q = 700

Substitute x=2865\sum x = 2865:

286550q=7002865 - 50q = 700

Then solve:

50q=2165q=43.350q = 2165 \quad \Rightarrow \quad q = 43.3

Key Takeaways

  • (xq)=xnq\sum(x-q) = \sum x - nq.
  • Adding a constant to every value changes the mean by that constant, but leaves the standard deviation unchanged.
  • Given the coded sum and the raw total, the coding constant can be recovered by solving a linear equation.

Common Mistakes

  • Forgetting the factor 5050 in front of qq.
  • Subtracting qq only once instead of from each value.
  • Making a sign error when rearranging 286550q=7002865 - 50q = 700.

If no method is shown, the mark scheme awards SC B1 for the final value 43.343.3; always show the equation to earn full method marks.

Things to Be Careful About

  • qq is not the mean of xx; the mean of xx is 2865/50=57.32865/50 = 57.3.
  • Ensure (xq)\sum(x-q) is expanded correctly before substituting.
  • The answer 43.343.3 can also be written as 4331043\frac{3}{10}.
Techniques used
expand the coded sum over n termssubstitute the given total sumsolve a linear equation for the constant

The rest of this paper

6 more questions
  • Q2Permutations and Combinations5M
  • Q3Permutations and Combinations · Probability6M
  • Q4The Normal Distribution9M
  • Q5Representation of Data7M
  • Q6Discrete Random Variables · The Normal Distribution11M
  • Q7Discrete Random Variables · Probability8M
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