9709/61

Mathematics 9709/61October/November 2010

Cambridge A-Level · Probability & Statistics 1 · worked solutions for every part, with the mark scheme

7
questions
50
marks
75
minutes

Topics Representation of Data · The Normal Distribution · Discrete Random Variables · Probability · Permutations and Combinations

Q13MRepresentation of DataFree sample

Anita made observations of the maximum temperature, tCt\,^{\circ}\text{C}, on 50 days. Her results are summarised by t=910\sum t = 910 and (ttˉ)2=876\sum(t - \bar{t})^2 = 876, where tˉ\bar{t} denotes the mean of the 50 observations. Calculate tˉ\bar{t} and the standard deviation of the observations.

DifficultyMedium-Easy
Worked solution

Approach

Use the definitions of the mean and standard deviation for nn observations. The mean is found by dividing the total by nn, and the standard deviation is the square root of the average squared deviation from the mean.

Working

The total of the 50 temperatures is given by t=910\sum t = 910, so the mean is

tˉ=tn=91050=18.2\bar{t} = \frac{\sum t}{n} = \frac{910}{50} = 18.2

The sum of squared deviations from the mean is given directly as

(ttˉ)2=876\sum (t - \bar{t})^2 = 876

Therefore the standard deviation is

s=(ttˉ)2n=87650s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (t - \bar{t})^2}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{876}{50}}

Evaluating this:

s=17.52=4.19(3 s.f.)s = \sqrt{17.52} = 4.19 \quad (3 \text{ s.f.})

Answer

tˉ=18.2C,s=4.19C\bar{t} = 18.2^{\circ}\text{C}, \quad s = 4.19^{\circ}\text{C}
Final answer

mean = 18.2 °C, standard deviation = 4.19 °C

Detailed explanation

Walkthrough

This question gives the two summary quantities you need directly: the total of the observations, t\sum t, and the sum of the squared deviations from the mean, (ttˉ)2\sum (t - \bar{t})^2.

  1. Find the mean. The mean of a set of nn observations is
tˉ=tn.\bar{t} = \frac{\sum t}{n}.

Here there are 50 days, so

tˉ=91050=18.2.\bar{t} = \frac{910}{50} = 18.2.
  1. Use the given squared deviations. The standard deviation is the square root of the average squared deviation from the mean:
s=(ttˉ)2n.s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (t - \bar{t})^2}{n}}.

The question has already told us that (ttˉ)2=876\sum (t - \bar{t})^2 = 876, so we do not need to calculate each deviation.

  1. Evaluate.
s=87650=17.52=4.19(3 s.f.)s = \sqrt{\frac{876}{50}} = \sqrt{17.52} = 4.19 \quad (3 \text{ s.f.})

Key Takeaways

  • The mean is found by dividing the total of all observations by the number of observations.
  • When a set of data is summarised by (xxˉ)2\sum (x - \bar{x})^2, the standard deviation can be computed directly as (xxˉ)2n\sqrt{\frac{\sum (x - \bar{x})^2}{n}}.
  • Keep the unsimplified expression, such as 876/50\sqrt{876/50}, visible in your working; examiners award method marks for seeing it.

Common Mistakes

  • Forgetting the square root: the variance is 87650=17.52\frac{876}{50} = 17.52, but the standard deviation is 17.524.19\sqrt{17.52} \approx 4.19.
  • Using n1n - 1 instead of nn: unless told the data is a sample for which n1n-1 is required, Cambridge S1 uses the divisor nn for the standard deviation of a set of data.
  • Using a rounded mean in further calculations: here the mean is exact at 18.218.2, so there is no rounding issue, but if the mean had not been exact, using a rounded value early could change the final answer.
  • Not showing the method expression: the mark scheme gives a method mark specifically for the correct unsimplified expression 876/50\sqrt{876/50}, so write it down.

Things to Be Careful About

  • The total t=910\sum t = 910 is in degrees; the mean and standard deviation will also be in degrees Celsius.
  • The standard deviation must be a non-negative number. If you get a negative value, check whether you forgot to take the square root.
  • Round the final standard deviation to a suitable degree of accuracy; the mark scheme accepts 4.194.19.
Techniques used
compute the mean from the total sumapply the meaning of sum of squared deviationstake the square root of the variance to find standard deviation

The rest of this paper

6 more questions
  • Q2The Normal Distribution5M
  • Q3The Normal Distribution · Discrete Random Variables7M
  • Q4Representation of Data7M
  • Q5Probability8M
  • Q6Permutations and Combinations9M
  • Q7Probability · Discrete Random Variables11M
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